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Q1 real GDP revised up, but corporate profits slide

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Stronger Q1 real GDP growth estimate, led by upward revisions to services spending, capex, and S&L government spending. But corporate profits decline amid high labor costs. Margin compression intensifies. CFNAI trend implies subdued economic growth in early Q2, but no recession. Initial jobless claims remain range-bound, but above cyclical low, a sign of some softening in labor market conditions. Pending home sales flat amid lack of inventory and affordability challenges.

Ned Davis Research | Economics | U.S. Daily Economic Perspectives | Daily

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