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Looking ahead for stocks using macro indicator estimates

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Real GDP in Q2 should boom to "overbought" year-to-year levels that have historically been negative for stocks. Profits in Q2 should jump well above levels (above 20% growth) that have historically slowed stock gains. The output gap in Q2 should close, which has been a problem for stocks as the Fed has to think about tapering as resources get scarce.

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