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Gut check

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CPI report won't give FOMC "greater confidence" that inflation is moving toward its 2% target. We continue to favor Q2 for the first cut, with June now just as likely as May. BEM generated a sell signal after CPI report. Market could see further damage. Market short-term oversold but not overly pessimistic. Flows remain strong.

Ned Davis Research | Fixed Income | Focus | Bi-Weekly

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