Here’s One Reason for Optimism on Oil Prices

2016-08-10 00:00:00.0   |   External Site

Hedge funds are betting that swelling inventories will help push the price of oil lower, but this glut still looks milder than past bearish cycles in crude. The price of oil has fallen roughly 14% since its most recent peak in June, as investors worry that large stocks of gasoline and crude, coupled with the continued strength of global production, will put pressure on this market. The gasoline glut could hurt profits at refineries, pushing them to buy less oil, some investors say. More than 40% of the bets made by “managed money,” mostly hedge funds, are for the price of the U.S. benchmark—West Texas Intermediate—and petroleum products to fall, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Hedge funds haven’t been so gloomy since January, when oil prices were in free-fall. Read more...

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