The bear market mostly ended in the middle of 2022, with the trend evidence slowly improving, but some indicators have not verified. On the bullish side, a buy from the Leading Indicator Model was accompanied by a long period of short-term pessimism, inflation and interest rates peaked, and the cycle composite turned up late last year. On the offsetting side, long-term trend, valuations, and rising debt service could weigh on gains in 2H.
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