Month-to-date, there have been large outflows from Financial (XLF), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and Treasury TIPs (TIP). The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) stood out for three reasons: it is up 8% since April 19, the $760M inflow month-to-date follows a record monthly inflow for March, and it is reversing from more than 2 std dev oversold. Tempering our enthusiasm for a large TLT rebound is the Fed tightening cycle.
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