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Tug of war between stocks and bonds rages on

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Stock/bond ratio has traded within 5% of its one-year average for 39 straight weeks. This was last seen in the early 1990s. Upside breakout likely if global green shoots emerge. Look for a breakdown if fears of a U.S. recession intensify. Energy and Financials would benefit from upside breakout. Bonds, precious metals, and miners would benefit from a breakdown.

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