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History as a Guide

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Pattern matching tool points to further upside for the dollar index over the next few years. However, recent weakness and a lack of extreme pessimism suggest the dollar could test lower end of multi-year range first. S&P 500 max drawdown of 2.8% in 1st half would be the 2nd smallest on record. History suggests 2nd half could continue to frustrate investors looking for a better entry point.

Ned Davis Research | U.S. Technical Analysis | TA Notebook | Weekly

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